French election: Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen on track to advance to runoff, data shows

Macron, the current president of France, received 28.6% of the vote in the first round of Sunday’s election and is poised to bring him to the top, according to a poll by French broadcasters Ifop-Fiducial for TF1 and LCI. Le Pen, who holds the long-standing standard of the French far-right, is on track to finish second with 23.6%.

12 candidates contested for the top post. Since none of them received more than 50% of the vote in the first round, the first two candidates will face each other in the second round on April 24.

The contest was marked by voter indifference, with voter turnout estimated at 73.3%, the lowest in the first round in 20 years, according to Ifop-Fiducial. Although Macron appears to be on track to win the first round, he is still a polar bear, and his approval rating plummeted during his first term.

In a speech after the polls closed, Macron urged voters to come out on top in the second round.

“Nothing has been resolved. The debate we will have in the next 15 days is crucial for our country and our Europe,” he said. “After leaving Europe, I do not want a France that has only international democrats and racists as allies. It’s not us. I want France loyal to humanity and the spirit of enlightenment,” he said.

Macron is seeking to become the first French president to win re-election since Jacques Chirac in 2002. Despite the polls giving him a consistent win on the field, the competition has tightened considerably over the past month.

A poll by Ifop-Fiducial released on Sunday showed that Macron would win just 51% to 49% in the second round match against Le Pen.

Le Pen’s support has been steadily rising in recent weeks. Although he is best known for his extreme right-wing policies such as strictly controlling immigration and banning Muslim helmets in public places, this time he conducted a major campaign, softening his language and focusing more on pocketbook issues such as the rising cost of living. , A major concern for French voters.

In his speech on Sunday, Le Pen vowed to be “president of all French people” if he won the second round, and called on those who did not vote for Macron to support him in the second round.

In third place is left-wing firefighter Jean-Luc Mலlenchon with 20.1%, according to preliminary results analysis. Mன்சlenchon experienced a late rise in support and was seen as a dark horse candidate who could challenge Macron.

Experts say that whoever these voters elect in the second round can determine the presidency. Mலlenchon told his supporters he “should not even give Ms Le Pen a vote”, but he did not openly support Macron.

According to the analysis, no other candidate received more than 10% of the vote. Eric Jemmour, a far-right political commentator who turned out to be a presidential candidate, had just one of the top three candidates until March, according to the Ibob poll, and was fourth with 7%.

Candidates on the losing streak soon began to throw their support behind the first two seats. Zemmour urged his supporters to vote for Le Pen, while others urged their supporters to stay away from him.

The Socialists and Republican candidates from the traditional center-left and center-right parties have already backed Macron.

Socialist candidate Ann Hidalgo said Le Pen’s victory would breed “hatred against all” in France, while Republican Valerie Beckress said “the extreme right has never really cared about the country because it was close to victory.”

“Marine Le Pen’s plan will open France to dissent, disability and collapse,” Beckress said.


Macron’s political upheaval has eroded the playing field because his centrist political party has distanced itself from supporters of the traditional centralist parties, the Socialists and the Republicans. Both of its candidates received less than 5% of the vote on Sunday.

Pre-race studies, Macron Versus. Le Pen’s second round match showed that was mostly the end. Five years ago Le Pen easily defeated Macron, but experts say the second match between the two will be much tighter than the 2017 match.

Macron is no longer a political superpower and should run on a mixed record. Although his ambitious plan to promote EU autonomy and geopolitical development has earned him respect at home and abroad, he remains a divisive figure when it comes to domestic policies. His handling of the yellow dress movement, one of France’s longest protests in decades, was widely banned, and his record of the Covid-19 epidemic is endless.

Macron’s signature policy during the crisis – to get people to show evidence of vaccination to get their lives back on track – helped increase vaccination rates but also provoked minorities against his presidency.

French President Emmanuel Macron (center) speaks to a resident near his wife, Brigitte Macron (left), before voting in the first round of Sunday's presidential election.

Macron has done very little campaigning so far. Experts believe his strategy is to avoid as much political mud as possible to brand his image as the highest-ranking president of all candidates. The poll showed he was consistently leading all the candidates and he was considered a shoe-in to enter the second round.

A poll by Ifop-Fiducial released on Sunday showed that Macron would win just 51% to 49% in the second round match against Le Pen.

“Widespread dissatisfaction with Macron (especially among young people) means that its effect is uncertain and unpredictable. Round fit.

“No matter how much they hate Le Pen, there is a difference between him and Macron, and how he disrupts European and world politics.”

Le Pen tried to portray himself as a very different candidate to the one who lost to Macron in 2017, trying to position himself for the French working class, who had forgotten that his country was the answer to then US President Donald Trump. Although his views on economic nationalism, immigration, Euro skepticism, and his views on Islam in France remained unchanged, Le Pen sought to expand his appeal.

The contest was initially predicted to be a referendum on the dominance of the far right in French politics, but the war in Ukraine – another major issue for the electorate – raised the bar.

Macron topped most polls ahead of this year’s election. The Ibob poll found his support peaked in early March, when potential voters rallied around the flag and rewarded the president for his efforts to mediate the conflict in Ukraine even before Russia’s invasion failed.

Many experts expect the war to hurt Le Pen, a voice admirer of Russian leader Vladimir Putin, who became a major figure in the West with the Kremlin’s decision to invade Ukraine in late February. Le Pen met with the Russian president during his 2017 campaign, but this time, Russia was forced to remove a leaflet with a photo of him and Putin from that trip after an unprovoked attack on its neighbor.

Thomas, a CNN European affairs commentator, explained that the upcoming debates would be crucial if Macron’s persuaded voters that Le Pen’s previous support for Putin should disqualify him.

“He will suffer from a number of domestic issues, but he will have difficulty convincing voters of his foreign policy credentials, especially since he has long-standing ties with Russia,” he said.

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