One of the ‘Big Blue View rules’ for draft success is “If you do not have a franchise quarterback, get one.”
The rule says “If you need a franchise quarterback, humiliate him, thinking he will get one when your turn comes”.
There is a warning to that rule. It says:
“On the flip side of this rule, do not take a quarterback in the first round until you are convinced that he can be the face of your entitlement for the next ten years. That being said, you can not pick a guy.You marry that player.You put the fate of the right in his hands.If you choose the wrong quarterback, you will get your right back.
The truth is, the NFL is bad – at worst – when it comes to judging college quarterbacks and trying to build ownership. Don’t believe me? Here is a list of quarterbacks that have been drafted in Round 1 since 2010:
2010 First Round 1 QBs
2010
No. 1 – Sam Bradford (St. Louis Rams)
No. 25 – Tim Depo (Denver Broncos)
2011
No. 1 – Cam Newton (Carolina Panthers)
No. 8 – Jack Locker (Tennessee Titans)
No. 10 – Plane Cobert (Jacksonville Jaguars)
No. 12 – Christian Ponder (Minnesota Vikings)
2012
No. 1 – Andrew Luck (Indianapolis Golds)
No. 2 – Robert Griffin (Washington Redskins)
No. 8 – Ryan Danhill (Miami Dolphins)
No. 22 – Brandon Wheaton (Cleveland Browns)
2013
No. 16 – EJ Manual (Buffalo Bills)
2014
No. 3 – Blake Portals (Jacksonville Jaguars)
No. 22 – Johnny Manzil (Cleveland Browns)
No. 32 – Teddy Bridgewater (Minnesota Vikings)
2015
No. 1 – James Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers)
No. 2 – Marcus Mariotta (Tennessee Titans)
2016
No. 1 – Jared Koff (Los Angeles Rams)
No. 2 – Carson Vents (Philadelphia Eagles)
No. 26 – Paxton Lynch (Denver Broncos)
2017
No. 2 – Mitchell Trubiski (Chicago Pierce)
No. 10 – Patrick Mahoms (Kansas City Leaders)
No. 12 – Dyshan Watson (Houston Texans)
2018
No. 1 – Baker Mayfield (Cleveland Browns)
No. 3 – Sam Dornold (New York Jets)
No. 7 – Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills)
No. 10 – Josh Rosen (Arizona Cardinals)
No. 32 – Lamar Jackson
2019
No. 1 – Kyler Murray (Arizona Cardinals)
No. 6 – Daniel Jones (New York Giants)
No. 15 – Twain Hoskins (Washington)
2020
No. 1 – Joe Burrow (Cincinnati Bengal)
No. 5 – Dua Takovilova (Miami Dolphins)
No. 6 – Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers)
No. 26 – Jordan Love (Green Bay Packers)
2021
No. 1 – Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars)
No. 2 – Zach Wilson (New York Jets) |
No. 3 – Tray Lance (San Francisco 49ers)
No. 11 – Justin Fields (Chicago Bears)
No. 15 – Mac Jones (New England Patriots)
That’s 39 first-round quarterfinals. Get out of the 2021 class because it’s too soon for full judgments, it’s 34. I would argue that only eight of Newton, Luck, Mahoms, Watson, Allen, Jackson, Herbert have achieved true franchise quarterback status with their original teams. This is eight out of 34 (23.5 per cent). Even if a few get there in the 2021 quarters, the percentage will be even worse.
So, no, I do not know how to really watch quarterbacks for the NFL and find out which players have the right things to be franchise quarterbacks.
What does all this have to do with the New York Giants?
Giants Day 1 is not expected to be in the quarterly market. The numbers above will help you understand why they would like to take one more shot with Daniel Jones. If they have to go back to the draft for the first-round quarterback, each team has a one-third chance of getting the star quarterback they expect.
However, even though it is considered a normal quarterback class, the fact that quarterback-required teams may be ready for their swing may work in favor of the Giants.
A few months ago, analysts would say that there was not even a quarterback in this class who qualified for the top 10 in the 2022 NFL Draft. However, teams have been ‘talking about loving the quarterback’ for the past few months.
Now, depending on who you read or talk to, a quarterback can be picked in the top 10 places. Maybe three people. Frustration over a possible quarterback upgrade could lead to the selection of five quarterbacks in Round 1.
All of this is great for giants.
Quarterbacks Matt Coral, Malik Willis and Desmond Ryder are visiting the Panthers today for their first 30 appearances.
– Jonathan M Alexander (jonmalexander) April 12, 2022
Quarterback Flash Point No. 6 in Round 1, where Carolina Panthers failed to find the right place for Matt Rule in her first two seasons as head coach. It is widely expected that the Panthers will take the big swing in the quarterfinals at 6th place.
I mean, of course, the Giants and GM Joe Shawn are sitting in a great spot with choices 5 and 7.
If groups like the Pittsburgh Steelers, New Orleans Saints, Seattle Seahawks or Atlanta Falcons have a clear No. 1 quarterback on their board, the Giants are in a position to recoup a king’s ransom to retreat.
No. The same is true in 7. If Carolina goes a quarterback, QB1 will still be on board. If the Panthers choose Kenny Pickett or Malik Willis, the QB-required teams may be nervous and want to overtake the Falcons at No.8. Again, the Scoops and Giants would be a great place to get added “at-bats”. GM wants the draft.
So, every time you read about Desmond Rider or Matt Corel, I hope it’s true. The more teams talk themselves out of pessimistic moves for quarterbacks, the more options there are for the Giants.