Will the stock market drop 20% or 48% from the peak? Here’s the key factor, says this strategist.

“Is the economy under control or is it spiraling out of control? That’s the million-dollar question traders continue arguing over, ”sums up CrackedMarket blogger Jani Ziedins. Clearly, the latter argument prevailed – again – after Wall Street’s worst day in two years, and futures hinting more pain for Thursday. Among the gloomsters, Guggenheim’s Scott Minerd … Read more

‘We did not have a plan for a country to shut down’ – Cisco stock plunges 13% as China lockdown affects supply and outlook

Cisco Systems Inc. shares plunged in the extended session Wednesday after the tech bellwether’s revenue forecast came up more than $ 1 billion short of Wall Street expectations, which executives blamed on COVID shutdowns in China. Cisco CSCO, -4.43% shares dropped 13% after hours, following a 4.4% decline in the regular session to close at … Read more

Why this investor who paid $ 650,000 to lunch with Buffett is not buying or selling stocks right now

It’s 13-F season, and you’re not going to find many like Guy Spier’s Aquamarine Capital in the first quarter —- zero buys, zero sells. “Pathetic, isn’t it,” quips Spier in an interview. Spier says he feels less pressure to trade for trading sake after he stopped charging management fees. He also cites the possibly apocryphal … Read more

Dow climbs third straight day as stocks end sharply higher after retail sales, Fed Chair Powell’s remarks

US stocks closed sharply higher Tuesday, after retail sales data for April suggested the economy remained healthy and as investors weighed remarks by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. On Monday, the Dow finished less than 0.1% higher, the S&P 500 closed 0.4% lower and the Nasdaq fell 1.2%. The declines followed another losing week for … Read more

US COVID cases at highest levels since November, while Northeast and Midwest are above delta peak

COVID cases continued to rise across the US on Monday and were trending at the highest levels seen since late November around the time that South African scientists first identified the highly transmissible omicron variant which quickly became dominant around the world. Sine then, the BA.2 variant of omicron, and two other subvariants named BA.2.12 … Read more

Morgan Stanley: ‘Hard landing’ odds jump as investors worry about economic growth

The probability of a “hard landing” for the US economy has jumped, with stock and bond investors worried about slowing economic growth, according to Morgan Stanley’s wealth-management division. “The stock- and bond-market downturn has advanced to behavior resembling a classic cyclical bear market rather than simply a correction,” said Lisa Shalett, chief investment officer at … Read more

15 stocks that have fallen at least 33% but by these measures are still standouts in their sectors

During a year in which more than half of the stocks in the S&P 500 Index have declined 10% or more, you have probably seen the term “oversold” being bandied about. But what does oversold really mean? It means you think a stock has dropped too much, based on some quality you expect to fuel … Read more

‘Nowhere to hide?’ Why stagflation fears put stocks on verge of a bear market

It will take more than Friday’s big bounce to put to rest the fear of a bear market in stocks as uncertainty about the Federal Reserve’s ability to get a grip on inflation without sinking the economy stokes fears of stagflation – a pernicious combination of slow economic growth and persistent inflation. Stagflation is “an … Read more

‘Managed futures are like pigs in mud’: This ETF manager is replicating hedge-fund strategies to pull off big gains as stocks and bonds drop this year

Hello! Market jitters remain high this week as stocks continue to slide, with Cathie Wood’s ARK Innovation ETF standing out in the recent carnage. “We’ve entered a new era that is going to really challenge a lot of the ways people were making money,” says Andrew Beer of Dynamic Beta investments, or DBi. In this … Read more

This portfolio manager’s strategy uses just one ETF and his own ‘crash indicator’ to beat the market by 530%

Markets are off to a stronger start on Friday, but it’s been a rough few days, with the S&P 500 facing a six-week losing streak, its longest in a decade. With a war raging in Europe, surging prices all over and uncertainty over what central banks can do about it, investors may not get that … Read more